Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 440 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.31u | +0.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Minaur
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Arnaldi's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | W 63 67 76 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 62 63 | L 06 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | W 57 26 63 64 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | L 36 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 61 76 | L 46 46 |
| Luca Nardi | W 64 75 | W 60 67 63 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 46 62 64 60 | L 46 63 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | W 46 62 76 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 61 46 46 46 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 55.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.7% | 61.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.2% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.1% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.6% | 34.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47% | 51.5% |
| BP Converted % | 48.6% | 50.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.1 | 22.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30.1 | 35.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72% | 64.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.3% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 67% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Hamad Medjedovic
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 15
Sebastian Ofner
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Alexander Blockx
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 64 at Australian Open on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex de Minaur is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (Apr 24).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Jaume Munar (May 6).
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