ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Nardi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,130 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.20u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Minaur
0
Nardi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Nardi's 25%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | W 67 63 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | L 36 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | L 06 76 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 46 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 67 64 | L 64 46 26 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 57 26 16 | L 16 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 46 36 06 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 58.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 52.8% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 24.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 41.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 64.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
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Remy Bertola
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Remy Bertola
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Oriol Roca Batalla
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Jun 2
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Luca Nardi face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Rome on Clay.
Alex de Minaur leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Luca Nardi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Oscar Weightman (Jun 13).
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