Alex de Minaur and Luca Nardi have met 1 time since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ATP Masters 1000 Rome (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Nardi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,130 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Alex de Minaur.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.20u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Nardi's 25%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | W 67 63 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | L 36 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | L 06 76 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 46 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 67 64 | L 64 46 26 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 57 26 16 | L 16 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 46 36 06 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Remy Bertola
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 4
Oriol Roca Batalla
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Hugo Grenier
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 25
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Moldova Open · Quarterfinals
May 22
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 44% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |