Grand Slam · Round of 64 · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Frances Tiafoe.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +6.17u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
5
Minaur
1
Tiafoe
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 3, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 3, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 8, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 1, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tiafoe's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 36 76 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | W 36 63 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 67 64 | L 46 67 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 64 75 67 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | W 76 46 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | L 67 76 63 67 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | W 76 46 76 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 57 64 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | L 64 46 36 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 62.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 71.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 7.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 61.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 27.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 38.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 27.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 32 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 71.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Frances Tiafoe face off in the Round of 64 at US Open on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 5-1 over 6 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Frances Tiafoe is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Sho Shimabukuro (Jun 17).
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