ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Nottingham
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 650 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Minaur
2
Evans
Aug 31, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 9, 2020
ATP Cup
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 17, 2018
Nottingham
G Grass · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Minaur and Evans posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 64 36 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | L 26 67 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 61 46 46 46 | L 36 26 06 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 58.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 53.3% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 38.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 36.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 47.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 65.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 27.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 63.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 83% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Daniel Evans face off in the Finals at Nottingham on Grass.
Alex de Minaur leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Daniel Evans is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marcos Giron (Jun 13).
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