ATP 250 · Finals · Zhuhai
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 704 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alex de Minaur plays Adrian Mannarino.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 4.42 |
| ROI % | -13.7% | -59.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.92u | -5.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Minaur
1
Mannarino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mannarino's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 16 63 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 36 76 | W 76 36 63 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 46 63 | W 64 36 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 36 46 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 26 62 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 67 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | L 36 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | L 64 57 57 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 36 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 67 76 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.6% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.4% | 63.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.8% | 44% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.5% | 59% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.8% | 26.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.7% | 48.6% |
| BP Converted % | 41.1% | 30.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.4 | 14.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 37.6 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.3% | 59.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 45.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Adrian Mannarino face off in the Finals at Zhuhai on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Martin Damm (Jun 11).
Adrian Mannarino is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Arthur Rinderknech (Jun 11).
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