ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Sardegna Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jesper de Jong and Adrian Mannarino are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,218 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–8 | 3–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 4.06 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | -47.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | -5.69u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Jong
1
Mannarino
Apr 30, 2026
Sardegna Open
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 24, 2025
Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Jong's 40%).
| Opponent | Jong | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Diallo | L 46 67 | W 64 36 75 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 46 76 64 | W 57 76 76 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 75 | W 76 61 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 06 | L 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 | L 57 26 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 57 | L 36 67 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 46 76 63 | W 75 64 60 |
| Mitchell Krueger | W 64 61 | W 61 61 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 57 26 | W 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jong | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.2% | 66.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.5% | 68.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 45.3% |
| Aces / Match | 6.9 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.7% | 53.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.6% | 28.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 31.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 29.4 | 21.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.9 | 29 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.5% | 64.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 47.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 63% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Laslo Djere
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Roberto Carballes Baena
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Marco Cecchinato
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Federico Bondioli
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Match summary
Jesper de Jong meets Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 16 at the Sardegna Open on April 30, a clay court event. De Jong is ranked 109th and Mannarino 46th. They have played once before, with Mannarino winning that meeting.
Mannarino leads their head-to-head 1-0 but arrives in sharp decline. The Frenchman has lost five consecutive matches and won just two of his last ten; he has played only once in the past two weeks. De Jong has posted a 60% record on clay recently, while Mannarino's clay form sits at 25%. Against common opponents, Mannarino defeated Bernard Tomic and Dalibor Svrcina while de Jong fell to both.
De Jong operates primarily through his serve and thrives on pace and placement from the baseline. Mannarino is a power hitter who attacks aggressively and relies on heavy groundstrokes to dictate points. The match will test whether de Jong's serving and consistency can withstand Mannarino's offensive intent, or whether Mannarino can redirect his game and overpower de Jong's baseline play.
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