Adrian Mannarino vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Jong's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at Cagliari Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 30, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 24, 2025
Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -35.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -4.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jong's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 46 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Remy Bertola | W 62 61 | W 76 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | L 57 61 26 67 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 46 36 63 63 63 | L 63 16 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | L 26 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | L 46 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | W 76 36 57 64 63 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | L 36 06 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 64 36 75 | L 46 67 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 50% |
| Sets won | 38% | 47% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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