ATP 250 · Semifinals · Delray Beach
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,378 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.60u | +8.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Fokina
1
Arnaldi
Oct 4, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 15, 2025
Delray Beach
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 6, 2025
Dallas
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arnaldi's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 46 26 36 |
| Cristian Garin | W 76 64 | L 26 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 62 | W 63 36 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 46 | L 16 76 67 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 61 61 62 | L 67 76 26 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 46 62 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 76 64 | L 46 63 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fokina | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.4% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49.7% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.9% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 44.2% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.1 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Semifinals at Delray Beach on Hard.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Corentin Moutet (Jun 18).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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