ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Beijing
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -1.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.60u | -0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Fokina
0
Carabelli
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carabelli's 10%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 16 61 36 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 46 26 |
| Cristian Garin | W 76 64 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 61 61 62 | L 36 64 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | L 67 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Filip Misolic | W 62 63 63 | L 57 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 76 16 57 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 61 64 | L 67 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fokina | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.4% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 51.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49.7% | 64% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.9% | 54.2% |
| BP Converted % | 44.2% | 37.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.1 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 28.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72% | 72.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Matchup overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Camilo Ugo Carabelli face off in the Round of 32 at Beijing on Hard.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Corentin Moutet (Jun 18).
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
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