ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,407 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Adrian Mannarino here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.90 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +1.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | +0.28u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Mannarino
2
Paul
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Paul posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 76 63 57 57 75 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | W 61 62 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | W 76 63 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 76 61 | W 62 62 |
| Tomas Machac | W 63 63 | L 62 36 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 62 | L 67 76 36 76 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 67 | L 61 06 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mannarino | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.1% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.8% | 70.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.2% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 6 | 6.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 44.4% | 49.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 23.7% | 26.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.1% | 47.9% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 41.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.4 | 29.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.7% | 65.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.6% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Zizou Bergs
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Daniel Merida
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 16
Apr 3
Tommy Paul
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Zhizhen Zhang
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Final
Apr 5
Frances Tiafoe
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Semifinals
Apr 4
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Quarterfinals
Apr 3
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 24
Matchup overview
Adrian Mannarino and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Adrian Mannarino leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Adrian Mannarino is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nuno Borges (Apr 13).
Tommy Paul is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (Apr 5).
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