ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Buse
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mannarino
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,535 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Ignacio Buse plays Adrian Mannarino.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Buse | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 1–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 4.09 |
| ROI % | -2.0% | -86.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | -7.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Buse
0
Mannarino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Buse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Mannarino's 11%).
| Opponent | Buse | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 36 76 36 57 | L 57 26 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 57 63 | L 36 46 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 46 63 | L 26 62 46 |
| Daniel Merida | W 67 62 63 | L 64 26 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 67 64 | L 64 57 57 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 63 36 46 | L 36 36 16 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 26 46 | L 67 76 36 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 36 63 57 | L 36 67 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 16 16 | W 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Buse | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.5% | 65.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.7% | 62.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.2% | 46.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.8% | 50.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.8% | 27.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52% | 49.4% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 38% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.9 | 16.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.2 | 29 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.2% | 63.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 46.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 63% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Ignacio Buse will face Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 128 of the Mutua Madrid Open on April 22, 2026. This outdoor clay-court meeting pits Buse, ranked 58th, against Mannarino, who holds a ranking of 46th. Both players will compete on a surface that has shaped their recent records in different ways.
Buse and Mannarino have never played each other, so this inaugural meeting carries no history between them. Their split results against common opponents offer mixed signals; Ignacio Buse defeated Daniel Merida and Matteo Berrettini but lost to Dalibor Svrcina, while Adrian Mannarino won against Svrcina but fell to both Merida and Berrettini.
Ignacio Buse arrives with a 65 percent win rate on clay over recent play, though his current form is mixed. Buse has won 1 of his last 5 matches and 5 of his last 10, currently riding a three-match losing streak. Adrian Mannarino has struggled on clay, posting a 25 percent record in recent clay competition. Mannarino has won 1 of his last 5 and 2 of his last 10, extending a four-match losing streak.
Buse operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on clay with reactive positioning and return-based tactics. Mannarino plays a baseline-oriented game and has won only 5 of 20 clay matches recently. The clay surface traditionally rewards Buse's strengths more than Mannarino's current form suggests, though both players enter this contest searching for momentum.
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