ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Nur-Sultan
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 5,356 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mackenzie McDonald here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.42 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | -59.1% | -36.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.32u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Mannarino
1
McDonald
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Mannarino's 25%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 36 67 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 62 63 | W 63 76 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 26 26 | L 57 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 64 57 57 | W 36 62 75 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 36 67 | L 36 26 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 46 62 61 | W 75 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 46 62 26 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mannarino | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.3% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.7% | 60.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59% | 59.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.1% | 28.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.6% | 46.3% |
| BP Converted % | 30.9% | 40.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 14.5 | 14.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 59.9% | 65.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 45.7% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Merida
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Matchup overview
Adrian Mannarino and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Quarterfinals at Nur-Sultan on Hard.
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Adrian Mannarino is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Arthur Rinderknech (Jun 11).
Mackenzie McDonald is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rinky Hijikata (Jun 4).
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