Tomas Machac vs Zhizhen ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Tomas Machac and Zhizhen Zhang have met 2 times since 2022; Tomas Machac leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger in 2022 on hard. Machac has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Machac leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Machac has taken 4 sets to Zhang's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 7 · 2:45 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.96 or longer, Zhizhen Zhang has won 19 of 53 (36%). The price implied 26%, so Zhizhen Zhang has beaten it by 10 points.
At 1.40 or shorter, Tomas Machac has won 78 of 100 (78%). The price implied 75%, so Tomas Machac has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Tomas Machac meets Zhizhen Zhang in the first round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 7 on hard court. Machac, ranked 75th, holds a 2-0 head-to-head record against Zhang, who sits at 166th. The Czech player arrives with a 1-4 record in his last five matches after three tournaments in two weeks; Zhang has lost his last four and played twice in the same span.
Both players have struggled on hard courts recently. Machac has won 9 of his last 20 hard-court matches, while Zhang has converted 8 of 20. Against common opponents this season, Machac defeated Daniel Altmaier, Francisco Cerundolo, and Sebastian Baez; Zhang lost to all three. The pair share losses to Adrian Mannarino and Arthur Gea.
Machac relies on aggressive baseline hitting and power off both wings to control points. Zhang builds his game around serving and will need to hold serve frequently and dictate on his first shot to compete. For Machac, consistency and depth will be the demand after a brief and taxing stretch; for Zhang, serving well and minimizing loose errors from the baseline become essential given his recent form.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Machac | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tomas Machac | Zhizhen Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 12/25 | 36% | 16/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 8/8 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 5/8 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Machac 0, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,823 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 21, 2022
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Machac | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tomas Machac | Zhizhen Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Machac | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -65.5% | -72.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.93u | -3.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Machac | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Zhang's 25%).
| Opponent | Machac | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Gea | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 64 63 | W 67 76 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 16 63 | L 64 67 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 63 | L 36 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Tyler Zink
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Henry Searle
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–47 matches
| Metric | Machac | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 45% |
| Sets won | 48% | 46% |
| Games won | 47% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Machac | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Machac | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |