Tomas Machac vs Zangar NurlanulyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Almaty Open - Almaty
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 21 · 2:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Tomas Machac and Zangar Nurlanuly meet next at the Almaty Open - Almaty on October 21 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Machac | Nurlanuly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tomas Machac | Zangar Nurlanuly | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 7/15 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 14/30 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 10/10 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Nurlanuly
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 117 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Machac and Nurlanuly have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Machac | Nurlanuly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tomas Machac | Zangar Nurlanuly | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Machac | Nurlanuly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -42.7% | -5.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -0.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Machac | Nurlanuly |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 0 |
| Distance | 3,216 mi · 5,175 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → KAZ | KAZ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Aleksandar Vukic
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Alexandre Muller
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Paul Jubb
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Aaron Gabet
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Grigory Shebekin
M15 Astana · Semifinals
Aug 1
Dan Brand
M15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yerassyl Yerdilda
M15 Astana · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Aleksandre Bakshi
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Jul 29
Edas Butvilas
Shymkent 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–36 matches
| Metric | Machac | Nurlanuly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 38% |
| Sets won | 49% | 40% |
| Games won | 48% | 47% |
