Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Jingshan Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 29 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.41 or shorter, Stefanos Sakellaridis has won 16 of 18 (89%). The price implied 73%, so Stefanos Sakellaridis has beaten it by 16 points.
At 2.92 or longer, Yuta Shimizu has won 6 of 29 (21%). The price implied 28%, so Yuta Shimizu has fallen 7 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yuta Shimizu meets Stefanos Sakellaridis in the 1st Round of the Jingshan Challenger on September 29 on hard court. Shimizu, ranked 395, carries a two-match losing streak. Sakellaridis, ranked 134, arrives on a three-match slide after playing twice in the past two weeks.
The two have never faced each other. Shimizu has won 3 of his last 5 matches; Sakellaridis has won 2 of 5. On hard court over a recent sample, Shimizu stands at 10-10, while Sakellaridis holds a 15-5 record. Both players beat Taro Daniel and Yu Hsiou Hsu in recent hard-court outings.
Shimizu operates as a baseline grinder who builds points through consistency and depth. Sakellaridis is a big hitter who relies on power and aggression to control points. The hard court has treated Sakellaridis far better in recent play, though both players sit out of form. Shimizu will need to sustain long rallies and minimize unforced errors; Sakellaridis must find rhythm with his strokes early to avoid extended baseline exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakellaridis | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Stefanos Sakellaridis | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 33/52 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 28/80 | 39% | 21/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/47 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 11/25 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 41/45 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 33/45 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakellaridis
💥 Big Hitter
Shimizu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 667 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Sakellaridis.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Sakellaridis and Shimizu have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakellaridis | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Stefanos Sakellaridis | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakellaridis | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +11.6% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.85u | -1.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakellaridis | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,474 mi · 8,810 km | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km |
| Route | ITA → CHN | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Sakellaridis and Shimizu posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Sakellaridis | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Taro Daniel | W 64 76 | W 63 62 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | W 64 62 | W 75 36 61 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 57 46 | L 36 06 |
| Lorenzo Carboni | W | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 20
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Duje Ajdukovic
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Mili Poljicak
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Andrej Nedic
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Christopher O'Connell
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Kasidit Samrej
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Aditya Vishal Balsekar
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Liam Broady
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–81 matches
| Metric | Sakellaridis | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |