Sorana Cirstea vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 6–0

🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wSorana Cirstea and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Sorana Cirstea leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2–0. Cirstea has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cirstea has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cirstea | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sorana Cirstea | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 32/41 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 30/40 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cirstea 3, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2025
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 7, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2022
Melbourne Summer Set 2 - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cirstea | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | - |
| ROI % | -20.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gracheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Cirstea's 50%).
| Opponent | Cirstea | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 46 | L 46 06 |
| Linda Noskova | L 62 36 67 | W 62 26 75 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 63 76 | W 64 60 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 26 62 | W 61 26 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–57 matches
| Metric | Cirstea | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 69% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cirstea | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cirstea | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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