Sorana Cirstea vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 11–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Sorana Cirstea and Tatjana Maria have met 6 times since 2019; Sorana Cirstea leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Limoges in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Cirstea leads 2–0. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2–0. Cirstea has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cirstea has taken 11 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cirstea | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sorana Cirstea | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 29/38 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 27/38 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 79% | 11/14 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 34/37 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cirstea 2, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Sorana Cirstea and Tatjana Maria are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 22, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Dec 18, 2019
Limoges
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cirstea | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sorana Cirstea | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -38.7% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.48u | +2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maria's 29%).
| Opponent | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | L 26 57 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 63 64 | L 46 63 57 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 63 61 | W 62 61 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 62 | L 57 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 76 62 | L 67 57 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 26 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–60 matches
| Metric | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 50% |
| Sets won | 65% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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