Sorana Cirstea vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5w6 meetings · sets 11–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleSorana Cirstea and Tatjana Maria have met 6 times since 2019; Sorana Cirstea leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Limoges in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Cirstea leads 2–0. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2–0. Cirstea has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cirstea has taken 11 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cirstea | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sorana Cirstea | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 32/41 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 30/40 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cirstea 2, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 22, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Dec 18, 2019
Limoges
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cirstea | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sorana Cirstea | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -20.0% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maria's 44%).
| Opponent | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 63 | W 64 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 76 63 | L 76 26 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 61 76 | W 46 61 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | L 26 57 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 63 64 | L 46 63 57 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 62 | L 57 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 76 62 | L 67 57 |
| Xinyu Wang | W | W 61 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–60 matches
| Metric | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 69% | 55% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cirstea | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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