Sebastian Baez and Tommy Paul have met 1 time since 2024; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at London / Queen's Club (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -26.9% | +4.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | +0.81u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Baez's 30%).
| Opponent | Baez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 60 16 46 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 62 57 26 02 | W 61 36 75 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | L 63 36 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | L 67 76 36 76 16 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 46 64 76 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 46 16 | L 62 36 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 36 | L 67 46 57 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 26 | W 76 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 36 57 63 | L 67 63 67 |
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Maxim Mrva
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–50 matches
| Metric | Baez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 70% |
| Sets won | 45% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
