Roberto Carballes Baena vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5w6 meetings · sets 2–12
🇧🇷Thiago Monteiro
#275 · 32 yrs · L
4wRoberto Carballes Baena and Thiago Monteiro have met 6 times since 2015; Thiago Monteiro leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 6–0. Monteiro has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Baena has taken 2 sets to Monteiro's 12. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 15/26 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 0, Monteiro 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 1, 2021
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 25, 2021
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 27, 2020
Santiago Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 15, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 10, 2017
Santiago 2
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 4, 2015
Guayaquil
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -20.3% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.84u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Baena's 33%).
| Opponent | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 64 57 36 | W 63 62 |
| Miguel Damas | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 36 63 16 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–47 matches
| Metric | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 54% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 6 |
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