Roberto Carballes Baena vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธRoberto Carballes Baena
#258 ยท 33 yrs ยท R
5w6 meetings ยท sets 2โ12

๐ง๐ทThiago Monteiro
#235 ยท 32 yrs ยท L
33Roberto Carballes Baena and Thiago Monteiro have met 6 times since 2015; Thiago Monteiro leads 6โ0. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 6โ0. Monteiro has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Baena has taken 2 sets to Monteiro's 12. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 0, Monteiro 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
๐ช Counterpuncher
Monteiro
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 1, 2021
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 25, 2021
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 27, 2020
Santiago Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Nov 15, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Nov 10, 2017
Santiago 2
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Nov 4, 2015
Guayaquil
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ4 | 15โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 6 |
| Distance | โ | 673 mi ยท 1,083 km |
| Route | โ | POL โ ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Baena and Monteiro posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 63 76 | L 64 36 67 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 61 67 63 | W 63 76 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 64 64 | W 67 63 76 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 64 57 36 | W 63 62 |
| Miguel Damas | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 36 63 16 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger ยท Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 47โ55 matches
| Metric | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 6 |
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