Roberto Carballes Baena vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Shintaro Mochizuki
#123 · 23 yrs · R
Roberto Carballes Baena and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2026; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 1–0. Across all meetings Baena has taken 2 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 10/22 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/46 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 1, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Carballes Baena.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -4.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mochizuki's 25%).
| Opponent | Baena | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 36 | L 36 16 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 46 46 | W 76 75 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 61 67 63 | L 36 67 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 26 63 63 | L 67 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–63 matches
| Metric | Baena | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 40% |
| Sets won | 52% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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