Rei Sakamoto vs Seongchan HongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.79 or longer, Seongchan Hong has won 3 of 15 (20%). That is level with the 21% the price implied.
At 1.26 or shorter, Rei Sakamoto has won 13 of 16 (81%). That is level with the 81% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Rei Sakamoto and Seongchan Hong meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakamoto | Hong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rei Sakamoto | Seongchan Hong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 26/42 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 6/24 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/66 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 21/47 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 18/36 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 26/37 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Hong
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,609 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rei Sakamoto.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Sakamoto and Hong have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakamoto | Hong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rei Sakamoto | Seongchan Hong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakamoto | Hong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | +1.0% | -7.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.15u | -0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakamoto | Hong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 0 |
| Distance | 2,185 mi · 3,516 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Sakamoto and Hong posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Sakamoto | Hong |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 67 67 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Aleksandar Vukic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alexandre Muller
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Jay Clarke
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Sapporo · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Nikoloz Basilashvili
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–70 matches
| Metric | Sakamoto | Hong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |