Paula Badosa vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇺🇸Varvara Lepchenko
#181 · 40 yrs · Left-Handed
7w3Paula Badosa and Varvara Lepchenko have met 2 times since 2015; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Seoul in 2015 on hard. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 2 sets to Lepchenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 35% | 14/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 1, Lepchenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Paula Badosa and Varvara Lepchenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 23, 2015
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Badosa | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Paula Badosa | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.67 |
| ROI % | +18.2% | -16.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | -1.63u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Lepchenko's 25%).
| Opponent | Badosa | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Mayar Sherif | L 67 76 46 | W 64 64 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 61 | L 36 57 |
| Alevtina Ibragimova | W 76 16 64 | L 36 46 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 62 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Alevtina Ibragimova
Iasi WTA
Jul 13
Clara Burel
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 13
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Iasi WTA
Jul 12
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 9
Tamara Korpatsch
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lisa Zaar
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 7
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–40 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 48% |
| Sets won | 59% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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