Shuai Zhang vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π³Shuai Zhang
#53 Β· 37 yrs Β· Right-Handed
46 meetings Β· sets 10β3

πΊπΈVarvara Lepchenko
#181 Β· 40 yrs Β· Left-Handed
7w3Shuai Zhang and Varvara Lepchenko have met 6 times since 2016; Shuai Zhang leads 5β1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 3β0. On clay courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Zhang has taken 10 sets to Lepchenko's 3. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zhang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Shuai Zhang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/59 | 35% | 14/40 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 13/29 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zhang 4, Lepchenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zhang
π― Baseliner
Lepchenko
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs π― Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Lepchenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 24, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 1, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 1st Round
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay Β· Round of 128
Jun 28, 2017
Eastbourne
G Grass Β· Round of 64
Sep 16, 2016
Japan Open Tokyo
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 20, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zhang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Shuai Zhang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β7 | 5β6 |
| Avg odds | 3.16 | 2.62 |
| ROI % | -9.2% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -0.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 5 | β |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Zhang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Lepchenko's 0%).
| Opponent | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 61 63 | L 26 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 26 | L 76 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Alevtina Ibragimova
Iasi WTA
Jul 13
Clara Burel
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi Β· 1st Round
Jul 13
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Iasi WTA
Jul 12
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 9
Tamara Korpatsch
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lisa Zaar
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· 1st Round
Jul 7
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena Β· 2nd Round
Jun 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 40β59 matches
| Metric | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 48% |
| Sets won | 54% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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