Shuai Zhang vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w36 meetings · sets 10–3
🇺🇸Varvara Lepchenko
#192 · 40 yrs · Left-Handed
Shuai Zhang and Varvara Lepchenko have met 6 times since 2016; Shuai Zhang leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 3–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Zhang has taken 10 sets to Lepchenko's 3. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zhang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Shuai Zhang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 9/30 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 19/63 | 38% | 21/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zhang 4, Lepchenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Lepchenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 24, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 1, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Jun 28, 2017
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 64
Sep 16, 2016
Japan Open Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 20, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zhang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Shuai Zhang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.35 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | -32.4% | -47.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.27u | -5.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zhang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Lepchenko's 0%).
| Opponent | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriela Andrea Knutson | L 46 61 16 | L 16 57 |
| Milena Steinkamp | W 63 62 | L 16 36 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 61 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Ulrikke Eikeri
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Katrina Scott
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 7
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alina Korneeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Emerson Jones
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–63 matches
| Metric | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 46% |
| Sets won | 52% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zhang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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