Paula Badosa vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wPaula Badosa and Varvara Gracheva have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Gracheva leads 2–1. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 14/45 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 19/37 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 1, Gracheva 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Paula Badosa and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2021
Volvo Car Open - Charleston
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | - |
| ROI % | -3.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km | — |
| Route | BRA → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Badosa and Gracheva posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 16 36 | W 62 26 75 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 46 67 | L 26 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 64 | L 67 06 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 75 63 | W 64 60 |
| Elina Svitolina | L | L 36 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–45 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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