Paula Badosa vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5w4 meetings · sets 4–5

🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wPaula Badosa and Varvara Gracheva have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Gracheva leads 2–1. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 4 sets to Gracheva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 1, Gracheva 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Paula Badosa and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2021
Volvo Car Open - Charleston
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | - |
| ROI % | +18.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Badosa and Gracheva posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 16 36 | W 62 26 75 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 46 67 | L 26 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 64 | L 67 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 57 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 75 26 57 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–39 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 38% |
| Sets won | 59% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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