Paula Badosa vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#85 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Paula Badosa and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 1. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 60% | 25/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 14/45 | 34% | 26/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 19/37 | 44% | 17/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 0, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Zarazua
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Badosa | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Paula Badosa | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | -4.9% | -0.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.64u | -0.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Badosa | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km | — |
| Route | BRA → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Zarazua's 11%).
| Opponent | Badosa | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Simona Waltert | W 75 75 | W 64 63 |
| Sinja Kraus | W 75 61 | L 26 57 |
| Linda Noskova | L 16 36 | L 16 46 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 46 67 | L 26 03 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 16 | L 16 26 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Bianca Andreescu | L 26 63 36 | L 36 57 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | L 46 46 | L |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 63 36 46 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Semifinals
Oct 10
Katarina Zavatska
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Darya Astakhova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Han Shi
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Aryna Sabalenka
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Anna Bondar
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–77 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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