🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta
#70 · 34 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#172 · 33 yrs · R
Pablo Carreno Busta and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at VII CHALLENGER COSTA CALIDA REGION DE MURCIA (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.83u | -5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Busta | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | L 64 36 36 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 64 | L 64 57 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | L 46 26 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | L 16 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 61 46 | L 16 36 |
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Stefano Travaglia
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 11
Max Hans Rehberg
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Gianmarco Ferrari
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 10
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–57 matches
| Metric | Busta | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 53% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
