Novak Djokovic vs Valentin VacherotPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ธNovak Djokovic
#12 ยท 39 yrs ยท R
Title1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฒ๐จValentin Vacherot
#31 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
5Novak Djokovic and Valentin Vacherot have met 1 time since 2025; Valentin Vacherot leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Djokovic has taken 0 sets to Vacherot's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valentin Vacherot won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 2 ยท 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.28 or shorter, Novak Djokovic has won 102 of 129 (79%). That is level with the 78% the price implied.
At 2.79 or longer, Valentin Vacherot has won 10 of 26 (38%). The price implied 26%, so Valentin Vacherot has beaten it by 12 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Novak Djokovic meets Valentin Vacherot in the first round of the Rolex Paris Masters on November 2. The twelfth-ranked Djokovic faces the thirty-first-ranked Frenchman on hard court at Bercy. Vacherot holds a 1-0 record in their sole previous meeting.
Vacherot arrives with momentum, winning his last three matches and posting a 70% win rate over his last ten contests. Djokovic has dropped a match in his past two outings; he won three of his last five but fell in his most recent outing two days ago. The pair have split results against common opponents, with Djokovic defeating Felix Auger-Aliassime while Vacherot beat Hubert Hurkacz and Mariano Navone.
Both players rely heavily on their serving games on hard courts. Djokovic has won 70% of his recent hard court matches, while Vacherot holds a 60% record on the surface. For Djokovic, converting break points will be critical against a server who has been difficult to crack; Vacherot must maintain his current serving form while finding opportunities on return to capitalize on any lapses from the world number twelve.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Djokovic | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Novak Djokovic | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 80% | 4/5 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 67% | 10/15 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 4/14 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Djokovic 0, Vacherot 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
๐ค Servebot
Vacherot
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Novak Djokovic and Valentin Vacherot are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,688 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 11, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Djokovic | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Novak Djokovic | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ4 | 11โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | +28.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.79u | +5.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 4 | 5 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | 6,547 mi ยท 10,536 km | 7,336 mi ยท 11,806 km |
| Route | CHN โ SUI โ FRA | JPN โ CHN โ FRA โ SUI โ FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Vacherot has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Djokovic's 70%).
| Opponent | Djokovic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | L 67 75 64 26 16 | W 63 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 36 | W 67 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W | W 64 36 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 64 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 76 | W 75 75 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 46 61 62 | W 64 46 76 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 16 64 | W 62 63 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 76 36 63 67 76 | L 26 26 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 62 26 36 57 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel ยท 2nd Round
Oct 29
Ugo Humbert
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel ยท 1st Round
Oct 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Holger Rune
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Rafael Jodar
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel ยท 2nd Round
Oct 29
Mariano Navone
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel ยท 1st Round
Oct 26
Luca Van Assche
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon ยท 2nd Round
Oct 22
Tommy Paul
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 30โ47 matches
| Metric | Djokovic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 60% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Djokovic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Djokovic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |