Nicolas Mejia vs Tung-Lin WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nicolas Mejia and Tung-Lin Wu have met 3 times since 2022; Tung-Lin Wu leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Little Rock Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Wu leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mejia has taken 3 sets to Wu's 5. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Savannah Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mejia | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Mejia | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 86% | 32/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 4/28 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 20/67 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 66% | 29/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 16/32 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 16/32 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 81% | 35/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mejia 0, Wu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Wu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Savannah Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 28, 2024
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 2, 2022
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mejia | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nicolas Mejia | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mejia | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +36.7% | -49.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.24u | -3.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mejia | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mejia's 40%).
| Opponent | Mejia | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 67 06 | L 64 67 16 |
| Coleman Wong | W 75 76 | L 26 26 |
| Justin Boulais | L 46 46 | W 67 64 76 |
| Benjamin Hassan | L 46 36 | W 63 64 |
| Hady Habib | W 76 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Coleman Wong
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Justin Boulais
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–70 matches
| Metric | Mejia | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 54% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mejia | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mejia | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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