Nicolas Jarry vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇱Nicolas Jarry
#867 · 30 yrs · R
26w6 meetings · sets 5–9
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wNicolas Jarry and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2018; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Quito in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 3–2. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Jarry has taken 5 sets to Baena's 9. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jarry | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Jarry | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 4/9 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 5/12 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jarry 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Jarry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 12, 2021
Luedenscheid
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 10, 2019
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 1, 2018
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 9, 2018
Quito
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.16 |
| ROI % | - | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jarry's 50%).
| Opponent | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Damas | W | W 62 63 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | L 46 64 67 | W 26 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Madrid Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Madrid Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Madrid Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Miguel Damas
Madrid Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Adam Walton
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Francesco Maestrelli
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–46 matches
| Metric | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 52% |
| Sets won | 34% | 52% |
| Games won | 46% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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