Nicolas Jarry vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇱Nicolas Jarry
#747 · 30 yrs · R
20w6 meetings · sets 5–9
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wNicolas Jarry and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2018; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Quito in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 3–2. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Jarry has taken 5 sets to Baena's 9. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jarry | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Jarry | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 4/8 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 5/11 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jarry 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Jarry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 12, 2021
Luedenscheid
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 10, 2019
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 1, 2018
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 9, 2018
Quito
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.74 |
| ROI % | - | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.84u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Jarry and Baena posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | L 46 64 67 | W 26 63 63 |
| Nerman Fatic | W 61 64 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Madrid Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Madrid Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Madrid Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Francesco Maestrelli
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open presented by Itau · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Dino Prizmic
BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago · 1st Round
Feb 23
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–47 matches
| Metric | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 27% | 55% |
| Sets won | 37% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jarry | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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