Nadia Podoroska vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Nadia Podoroska
#203 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3w42 meetings · sets 2–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Nadia Podoroska and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Podoroska has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nadia Podoroska won at SP Open - Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Podoroska | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nadia Podoroska | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 16/43 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 12/21 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 8/10 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Podoroska 1, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Podoroska
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 19, 2026
SP Open - Sao Paulo
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 27, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Podoroska | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nadia Podoroska | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Podoroska | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.69 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +36.6% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.13u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Podoroska | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | BRA | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Podoroska and Badosa posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Podoroska | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Suzan Lamens | W 76 36 63 | W 63 62 |
| Eva Lys | W 75 62 | L 62 57 46 |
| Simona Waltert | W 46 76 63 | W 75 75 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 64 57 36 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaitlin Quevedo
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Final
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Suzan Lamens
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Eva Lys
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Lucrezia Stefanini
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ena Koike
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 8
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–45 matches
| Metric | Podoroska | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 60% |
| Sets won | 70% | 59% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Podoroska | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Podoroska | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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