Mitchell Krueger vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Mitchell Krueger
#340 · 32 yrs · R
45 meetings · sets 8–5
🇺🇸Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
#1600 · 31 yrs · R
3wMitchell Krueger and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 5 times since 2018; Mitchell Krueger leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2018 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Krueger has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 8 sets to Kwiatkowski's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mitchell Krueger won at Newport (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 11/22 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 9/25 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 8/26 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 2, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Kwiatkowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mitchell Krueger.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 14, 2024
Newport
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 17, 2024
Tallahassee Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 20, 2021
Tallahassee Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 7, 2018
Houston
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | - |
| ROI % | +17.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Krueger and Kwiatkowski posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Krueger | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | L 67 75 46 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Stefan Kozlov
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Tyler Zink
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Keegan Smith
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Elias Ymer
Phoenix Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–48 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 0% |
| Sets won | 46% | 11% |
| Games won | 50% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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