Mitchell Krueger vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mitchell Krueger and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2025; Rafael Jodar leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Winston-Salem Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Jodar leads 2–0. Jodar has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 0 sets to Jodar's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at Nexo Dallas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 79% | 41/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 22% | 15/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 64% | 35/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 5/23 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 84% | 41/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Jodar 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🏹 Frontrunner
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mitchell Krueger.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12, 2025
Winston-Salem Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mitchell Krueger | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -44.9% | +2.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | +0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | JAM | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Krueger's 20%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Manas Dhamne | L 63 46 67 | W 63 76 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 67 26 | W 76 76 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | L 67 16 | W 62 63 |
| Michael Zheng | L 57 36 | L 46 57 |
| Daniel Masur | W 26 64 62 | L 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Alex Martinez
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jiri Lehecka
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–81 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 75% |
| Sets won | 46% | 67% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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