Milos Karol vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Milos Karol and Tiago Cacao have met 1 time since 2026; Tiago Cacao leads 1–0. Across all meetings Karol has taken 0 sets to Cacao's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tiago Cacao won at Braga Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karol | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Milos Karol | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/47 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 5/10 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 11/26 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karol 0, Cacao 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karol
🤖 Servebot
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Milos Karol.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
Braga Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karol | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 14–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +20.5% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.41u | -2.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Karol | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Karol and Cacao posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Karol | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schoen | W 76 62 | L 57 57 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | L 36 75 36 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dali Blanch
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tiago Cacao
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michael Vrbensky
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Alex Molcan
Prostejov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Sergi Perez Contri
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milos Karol
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Semifinals
Sep 19
Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–65 matches
| Metric | Karol | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karol | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karol | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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