Joao Domingues vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Domingues and Tiago Cacao have met 4 times since 2021; Joao Domingues leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Lisbon Challenger in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Domingues leads 3–0. Domingues has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Domingues has taken 5 sets to Cacao's 1. Their most recent meeting: Joao Domingues won at M25 Lourinha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Domingues | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Domingues | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 19/34 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 13/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Domingues 2, Cacao 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Domingues
⚔️ The Gladiator
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Joao Domingues and Tiago Cacao are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
M25 Lourinha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 29, 2026
M25 Quinta do Lago
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 29, 2026
M25 Quinta do Lago
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 28, 2021
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Domingues | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Domingues | Tiago Cacao | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 80% | 20/25 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 32% | 8/25 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 20% | 5/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Domingues | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 14–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -54.5% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.36u | -2.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Domingues | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Domingues has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cacao's 30%).
| Opponent | Domingues | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Bertrand | L 57 57 | L 67 67 |
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | W 64 36 61 | L 26 64 16 |
| Tiago Torres | L 36 36 | W 64 64 |
| Fausto Tabacco | W 26 61 63 | L 64 57 36 |
| Fabrizio Andaloro | L 46 67 | L 57 16 |
| Goncalo Marques | W 64 63 | L 67 57 |
| Alexander Tokar | W 60 61 | W 63 75 |
| Tiago Pereira | L 46 46 | W 67 64 63 |
| Gastao Elias | W 76 63 | L 46 46 |
| Michele Ribecai | W 64 76 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrej Martin
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Michael Geerts
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Sergi Perez Contri
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milos Karol
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Semifinals
Sep 19
Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Domingues | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 54% |
| Sets won | 55% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Domingues | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Domingues | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.