Goncalo Marques vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Goncalo Marques and Tiago Cacao have met 3 times since 2026; Goncalo Marques leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Loule in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Marques leads 2–1. Across all meetings Marques has taken 5 sets to Cacao's 3. Their most recent meeting: Goncalo Marques won at M25 Idanha-a-Nova (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marques | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Goncalo Marques | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 11/16 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 22/24 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 82% | 14/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marques 1, Cacao 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marques
🧱 The Wall
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tiago Cacao.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
M25 Idanha-a-Nova
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 18, 2026
M15 Castelo Branco
H Hard · Semifinals
May 5, 2026
M25 Loule
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marques | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Goncalo Marques | Tiago Cacao | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marques | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | +34.3% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | -1.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marques | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → POR | GBR → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cacao has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Marques's 33%).
| Opponent | Marques | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Rocha | L 46 76 46 | W 76 63 |
| Joao Mendes | W 61 61 | W 63 75 |
| Joao Domingues | L 46 36 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Final
Aug 23
Andrea Colombo
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tristan McCormick
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tiago Cacao
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dan Added
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Semifinals
Aug 15
Robin Bertrand
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Andrea Colombo
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Francisco Rocha
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Benjamin Gusic - Wan
M25 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 5
Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Giulio Perego
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Oscar Brown
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Castelo Branco · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–49 matches
| Metric | Marques | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marques | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marques | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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