Mayar Sherif vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇬Mayar Sherif
#52 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 2–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Mayar Sherif and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2023; Mayar Sherif leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Sherif leads 2–1. Sherif has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sherif leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sherif has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mayar Sherif won at MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sherif | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mayar Sherif | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 28/42 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 11/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/63 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 23/47 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 34/42 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 28/42 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sherif 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sherif
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 20, 2026
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi
C Clay · Final
Apr 4, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sherif | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mayar Sherif | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sherif | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +31.7% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.22u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sherif | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | — | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sherif's 40%).
| Opponent | Sherif | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Simona Waltert | W 57 64 76 | W 75 75 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | L 36 61 26 | W 75 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 62 36 76 | W 61 62 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | L 46 46 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 24
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paula Badosa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Elsa Jacquemot
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Simona Waltert
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Paula Badosa
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Final
Jul 20
Oleksandra Oliynykova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–63 matches
| Metric | Sherif | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 60% |
| Sets won | 63% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sherif | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sherif | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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