Maximilian Marterer vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Maximilian Marterer
#1991 · 31 yrs · L
5 meetings · sets 5–8
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wMaximilian Marterer and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2015; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Kenitra in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 3–2. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Marterer has taken 5 sets to Baena's 8. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Sao Paulo (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marterer | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maximilian Marterer | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 2/5 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 1/4 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marterer 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marterer
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maximilian Marterer.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 11, 2018
Marrakech
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 13, 2016
Kenitra
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 15, 2016
Meerbusch
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 16, 2015
Kenitra
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marterer | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maximilian Marterer | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -41.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.05u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BEL → GER | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Louis Wessels
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aaron Funk
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Christoph Negritu
Augsburg · Round of 32
Aug 19
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Stuttgart · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–47 matches
| Metric | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 55% |
| Sets won | 42% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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