Maximilian Marterer vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Maximilian Marterer
#1446 · 31 yrs · L
4w5 meetings · sets 5–8
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wMaximilian Marterer and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2015; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Kenitra in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 3–2. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Marterer has taken 5 sets to Baena's 8. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Sao Paulo (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marterer | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maximilian Marterer | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 1/4 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 2/7 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 1/4 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 1/3 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marterer 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marterer
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maximilian Marterer.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 27, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 11, 2018
Marrakech
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 13, 2016
Kenitra
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 15, 2016
Meerbusch
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 16, 2015
Kenitra
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marterer | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maximilian Marterer | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -19.8% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Lagutin
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Federico Arnaboldi
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Benjamin Hassan
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Louis Wessels
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Aaron Funk
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidane Pontjodikromo
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 10
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–46 matches
| Metric | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 52% |
| Sets won | 44% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marterer | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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