Elias Ymer vs Maximilian MartererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elias Ymer and Maximilian Marterer have met 7 times since 2016; Maximilian Marterer leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Como in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Marterer leads 3–1. On clay courts Marterer leads 3–0. Marterer has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 3 sets to Marterer's 13. Their most recent meeting: Maximilian Marterer won at Naples Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Marterer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elias Ymer | Maximilian Marterer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 17/31 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | 100% | 2/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 0, Marterer 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Marterer
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 26, 2024
Naples Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 17, 2024
Doha
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3, 2023
Tata Open Maharashtra - Pune
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 16, 2022
Helsinki
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 28, 2020
Split Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 9, 2018
Stockholm
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 31, 2016
Como
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ymer | Marterer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elias Ymer | Maximilian Marterer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -55.8% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -7.25u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pavel Lagutin
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Federico Arnaboldi
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Benjamin Hassan
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Louis Wessels
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Aaron Funk
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 19
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidane Pontjodikromo
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–56 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 43% |
| Sets won | 50% | 44% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Marterer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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