Mattia Bellucci vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mattia Bellucci and Yanki Erel have met 2 times since 2026; Mattia Bellucci leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Manama Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Bellucci leads 2–0. Bellucci has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bellucci has taken 4 sets to Erel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Jingshan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bellucci | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mattia Bellucci | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 25/35 | 78% | 47/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 19/62 | 26% | 20/78 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 58% | 36/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 19/31 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 90% | 53/59 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 25/35 | 80% | 47/59 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bellucci 2, Erel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Erel
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 3, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2026
Manama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bellucci | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mattia Bellucci | Yanki Erel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 96% | 24/25 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 68% | 17/25 |
| 5 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 56% | 14/25 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 12% | 3/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 4% | 1/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 17–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -10.8% | +12.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.84u | +3.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Bellucci and Erel posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Bellucci | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Keisuke Saitoh | W 62 62 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Anton Shepp
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Egor Pleshivtsev
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Boxiong Zhang
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Michael Zheng
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Arthur Weber
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–78 matches
| Metric | Bellucci | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 77% |
| Sets won | 53% | 72% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bellucci | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bellucci | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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