Matias Soto vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matias Soto and Nicolas Mejia have met 3 times since 2024; Nicolas Mejia leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at San Luis Potosi Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Mejia leads 3–0. Mejia has won the last 3 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Mejia leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Soto has taken 1 sets to Mejia's 6. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Soto | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matias Soto | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 17/64 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 18/29 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 11/27 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 32/36 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 26/36 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Soto 0, Mejia 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · Final
Apr 3, 2026
San Luis Potosi Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2024
San Luis Potosi Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Soto | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matias Soto | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Soto | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -15.0% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.85u | +6.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Soto | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 198 mi · 319 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CZE → GER | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Soto's 50%).
| Opponent | Soto | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Claverie | W 75 75 | W 63 67 63 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 36 26 | W 46 64 75 76 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 76 61 | W 64 46 63 |
| Vladyslav Orlov | W 61 62 | W 36 76 60 |
| Facundo Mena | L 46 46 | W 76 16 62 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 36 26 | L 36 75 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–70 matches
| Metric | Soto | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 59% |
| Sets won | 56% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Soto | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Soto | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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