Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Matias Soto have met 4 times since 2022; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Coquimbo 2 Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 4–0. Cerundolo has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 8 sets to Soto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/57 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 4, Soto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26, 2024
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 25, 2024
Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 19, 2022
Coquimbo 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Matias Soto | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | +57.4% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.04u | -2.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 198 mi · 319 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Soto's 33%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 57 16 | W 75 75 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 61 60 | L 64 36 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 63 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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