Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Matias Soto have met 4 times since 2022; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Coquimbo 2 Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 4–0. Cerundolo has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 8 sets to Soto's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Santiago (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 30% | 19/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 69% | 24/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 4, Soto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Soto
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Matias Soto are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26, 2024
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 25, 2024
Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 19, 2022
Coquimbo 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Matias Soto | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.95 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | -18.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | -2.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Soto's 25%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Mejia | W 64 64 | L 16 57 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 64 67 76 67 76 | L 26 36 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 57 16 | W 62 64 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 61 60 | L 64 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lautaro Midon
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP 0-4 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Vitaliy Sachko
Tulln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Marvin Moeller
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Sandro Kopp
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Kilian Feldbausch
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 58% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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