Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Samuel HerediaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 · 25 yrs · R
42 meetings · sets 4–1
🇨🇴Samuel Heredia
#643 · 20 yrs · R
4wMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Samuel Heredia have met 2 times since 2024; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Ibague Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 2–0. Almeida has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Almeida has taken 4 sets to Heredia's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pucinelli De Almeida | Heredia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Samuel Heredia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 31/43 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 29% | 19/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 18/40 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pucinelli De Almeida 1, Heredia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Heredia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Samuel Heredia.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Jun 24, 2024
Ibague Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Almeida | Heredia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Samuel Heredia | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 23/28 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 10/28 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 3/28 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.69 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | -0.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.45u | -0.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Almeida | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 454 mi · 731 km | — |
| Route | GER → GBR | ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Heredia's 40%).
| Opponent | Almeida | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo Varillas | L 36 67 | L 46 46 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 61 64 | W 64 64 |
| Laelson Rodrigues | W 61 63 | L 67 76 16 |
| Hernan Casanova | W 57 63 62 | L 26 36 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 63 57 16 | L 16 26 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W 67 63 61 | L 76 36 26 |
| Ezequiel Monferrer | W 60 10 | W 64 76 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 06 67 | L 64 36 46 |
| Valerio Aboian | W 63 62 | W 26 61 75 |
| Mateus Alves | W 76 75 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Luca Potenza
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Izan Almazan Valiente
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 7
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Quito Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Ignacio Monzon
Quito Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Eduardo Ribeiro
Quito Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joaquim de Almeida
Quito challenger
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–68 matches
| Metric | Almeida | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 48% |
| Sets won | 61% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Almeida | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Almeida | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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