Marin Cilic vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marin Cilic and Sho Shimabukuro have met 1 time since 2026; Marin Cilic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cilic has taken 2 sets to Shimabukuro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cilic | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marin Cilic | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 29/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 10/34 | 35% | 25/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 66% | 29/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cilic 1, Shimabukuro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Marin Cilic and Sho Shimabukuro are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cilic | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marin Cilic | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | -7.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cilic | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Shimabukuro's 50%).
| Opponent | Cilic | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 67 64 75 | L 57 16 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 75 26 26 | L 46 57 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 46 46 | W 62 67 75 |
| Marcos Giron | W 75 64 | L 36 57 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 61 63 | L 46 63 26 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 46 | W |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 61 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–74 matches
| Metric | Cilic | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 58% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cilic | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cilic | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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