Marie Bouzkova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#26 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wMarie Bouzkova and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Badosa leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bouzkova has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 7. Their most recent meeting: Marie Bouzkova won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bouzkova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Bouzkova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 26/31 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 10/52 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bouzkova 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 12, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2024
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bouzkova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Bouzkova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.50u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Bouzkova and Badosa posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | W 16 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 76 | L 26 16 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 67 62 62 | W 64 61 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 46 36 | W 63 61 |
| Emma Navarro | W 76 46 62 | L 64 36 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 76 63 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Carol Young Suh Lee
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 59% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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