Marie Bouzkova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#28 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Marie Bouzkova and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Badosa leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bouzkova has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 7. Their most recent meeting: Marie Bouzkova won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bouzkova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marie Bouzkova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 25/30 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 11/52 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 21/33 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bouzkova 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bouzkova
🏹 Frontrunner
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 12, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2024
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Final
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bouzkova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marie Bouzkova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.84u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Bouzkova and Badosa posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Jazmin Ortenzi | W 76 62 | W 46 62 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 76 | L 26 16 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 67 62 62 | W 64 61 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 46 36 | W 63 61 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 46 67 | W 61 62 |
| Emiliana Arango | W | W 63 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 76 46 62 | L 64 36 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 76 63 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elsa Jacquemot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–52 matches
| Metric | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 60% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bouzkova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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