Mariano Navone vs Tomas Barrios VeraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทMariano Navone
#48 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
35 meetings ยท sets 9โ2

๐จ๐ฑTomas Barrios Vera
#144 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
5Mariano Navone and Tomas Barrios Vera have met 5 times since 2023; Mariano Navone leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at Vina del Mar Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Navone leads 4โ1. Navone has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Navone leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 9 sets to Vera's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Barrios Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 20/58 | 32% | 20/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 4, Barrios Vera 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
๐ช Counterpuncher
Vera
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs โ๏ธ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 21, 2025
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 16, 2025
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Oct 19, 2023
Santa Fe 2 Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 24, 2023
Poznan Challenger
C Clay ยท Final
Mar 16, 2023
Vina del Mar Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ7 | 2โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -68.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -6.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Vera's 30%).
| Opponent | Navone | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 76 | L 67 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 63 67 63 | L 67 57 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 36 60 64 | W 76 63 |
| Emilio Nava | W 62 61 | L 62 46 67 |
| Daniel Merida | W 62 46 75 | L 36 63 67 |
| Murkel Dellien | L 26 67 | L 46 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 63 46 | L 16 36 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 64 62 | W 64 75 |
| Cristian Garin | L 67 26 | L 64 46 16 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | W 64 61 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Dylan Dietrich
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Niels Visker
Bunschoten Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilia Simakin
Iasi Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Marco Cecchinato
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Paul Jubb
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Benjamin Bonzi
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 62โ64 matches
| Metric | Navone | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 1 |
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