Marcos Giron vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcos Giron and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2019; Marcos Giron leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Winston-Salem in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Giron leads 2–1. Giron has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Giron has taken 7 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marcos Giron won at BMW Open - Munich (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 17/27 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 2, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marcos Giron.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2023
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 16, 2020
Bendigo Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 6, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giron | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcos Giron | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -63.9% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -6.39u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Giron and Baena posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Giron | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | L 61 36 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–56 matches
| Metric | Giron | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 51% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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