Marco Trungelliti vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทMarco Trungelliti
#83 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 5โ5

๐ช๐ธRoberto Carballes Baena
#209 ยท 33 yrs ยท R
5wMarco Trungelliti and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Florence in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2โ2. Across all meetings Trungelliti has taken 5 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Marco Trungelliti won at Santo Domingo Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Trungelliti | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Trungelliti | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 13/25 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/63 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 16/37 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 31/40 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 26/40 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Trungelliti 1, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Trungelliti
๐พ All-Court
Baena
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐พ All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Trungelliti.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2022
Santo Domingo Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2021
Belgrade Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Oct 6, 2018
Florence
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Trungelliti | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Trungelliti | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ7 | 8โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -33.4% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.01u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Trungelliti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Baena's 29%).
| Opponent | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Max Houkes | W 67 76 63 | W 64 36 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 62 26 57 | L 46 46 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 76 64 | L 46 36 |
| Jonas Forejtek | W 76 46 76 | L 62 16 36 |
| Hynek Barton | W 63 75 | W 63 64 |
| Sandro Kopp | W 76 61 | L 36 26 |
| Nerman Fatic | W 26 63 64 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Hamad Medjedovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Yannick Hanfmann
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kyrian Jacquet
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Jay Clarke
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Martin Damm
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 47โ66 matches
| Metric | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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