Marco Trungelliti vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Marco Trungelliti
#90 · 36 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wMarco Trungelliti and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Florence in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Trungelliti has taken 5 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Marco Trungelliti won at Santo Domingo Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Trungelliti | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marco Trungelliti | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 14/29 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 30/63 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 9/32 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 18/34 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Trungelliti 1, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Trungelliti
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2022
Santo Domingo Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2021
Belgrade Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 6, 2018
Florence
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Trungelliti | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marco Trungelliti | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.47u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,160 mi · 8,304 km | — |
| Route | POL → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Trungelliti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Baena's 14%).
| Opponent | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 36 57 | L 46 36 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 57 | L 60 36 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 36 26 63 16 | L 67 63 57 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 46 64 76 | L 64 36 36 |
| Max Houkes | W 67 76 63 | W 64 36 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 62 26 57 | L 46 46 |
| Jonas Forejtek | W 76 46 76 | L 62 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Sean Cuenin
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–68 matches
| Metric | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 51% |
| Sets won | 52% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Trungelliti | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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