Mackenzie McDonald vs Yibing WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Yibing Wu have met 1 time since 2026; Yibing Wu leads 1–0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 1 sets to Wu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yibing Wu won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Yibing Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 17% | 7/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 96% | 24/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 84% | 21/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 0, Wu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Wu
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 212 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yibing Wu.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Yibing Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 3.49 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -12.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | -1.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 25%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 16 36 | W 76 62 75 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 76 | L 36 57 |
| Remy Bertola | L | L 36 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 67 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Mackenzie McDonald
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–51 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 57% |
| Sets won | 43% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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