Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor SvajdaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Trevor Svajda have met 3 times since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at San Diego Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 4 sets to Svajda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Trevor Svajda won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Svajda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Trevor Svajda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 2, Svajda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Svajda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 3, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 28, 2025
San Diego Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Svajda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Trevor Svajda | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -21.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | -2.80u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | POR | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both McDonald and Svajda posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Edas Butvilas | W 36 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 64 46 | W 60 76 |
| Liam Draxl | L 63 67 26 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Federico Agustin Gomez
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Erik Arutiunian
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Zheng
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Blaise Bicknell
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jack Pinnington Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–51 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 52% |
| Sets won | 43% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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